With $25 million on Friday, Paramount/Skydance/Hasbro’s Transformers: Rise of the Beasts will dominate Sony Pictures Animation’s Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse, which is only expected to earn $16.5 million in its second weekend. It’s too early to tell which film will earn more over the weekend, but both are expected to make approximately $58 million.
The question of how large the films’ respective Saturdays are remains open, even if Rise of the Beasts has added the PLF and Imax screens to its 3,678 theatre count. Competitors predict that Spider-Verse will increase by 50% on Saturday compared to Friday, while Rise of the Beasts will drop by 33% from its $8.8M previews + Friday gross.
The success of the presales for Rise of the Beasts depends entirely on how much walk-up business Spider-Verse receives. With an 88% audience score on Rotten Tomatoes, Rise of the Beasts outperforms Bumblebee (74%) and Transformers: The Last Knight (43%).
With a $58M weekend, Spider-Verse would have $228.5M after 10 days. On Saturday, Sony Animation’s Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse will earn more than the original 2018 film, Spider-Man: Homecoming, which won an Academy Award for Best Animated Feature.
After a $6.8 million Friday (-42%), studio projections put Disney’s The Little Mermaid in third place this weekend with an estimated $24 million in earnings (down 41%) and a total of $230 million by Sunday. Aladdin, another Disney live-action feature adaptation of an animated film, finished its domestic run with $355.5M, putting it just 1% behind this figure.
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The previews for Transformers: Rise of the Beasts, which began at 3 p.m. on Thursday and included a fan gathering at 7 p.m. on Wednesday, brought in $8.8 million as of Friday morning. The Paramount, Skydance, and Hasbro sequel only made $7.6M without the help of Wednesday’s fans. Fast X, which had $7.6 million in previews before opening to $28 million on Friday and $67 million throughout the weekend, is a recent comparable.
It’s uncertain if Sony Animation’s Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse or Rise of the Beasts will have a more significant second weekend. Both teams hope to earn over $50 million. With an estimated $10.1M from 4,313 theatres on Thursday alone, the Amy Pascal/Avi Arad/Chris Miller/Phil Lord/Christina Steinberg movie finished its first week with $170.5M.
Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse has the longest running duration for an animated film in Hollywood at 140 minutes, surpassing The Incredibles 2 at 118 minutes (when comparing movies that are entirely animated, not hybrid).
After rising to nearly $70M in projections three weeks ago, Rise of the Beasts has since cooled. Paramount has tried to revive the franchise with this film by providing a more realistic human story and introducing animal Transformers. There is also an exciting and risky cliffhanger, which might be pretty successful for this Hasbro franchise.
In 2017, Transformers: The Last Knight opened on a Wednesday to $5.5M and then posted $15.6M on the first day of a weekend, totalling $44.6M over three days and $68.4M over five. Even without factoring in Thursday night and fan sneaks, Rise of the Beasts’ preview number dwarfs that of the Transformers spinoff movie Bumblebee, which had a pre-Christmas weekend release in 2018. Over its first weekend, Bumblebee earned $21.6 million.
The budget for Rise of the Beasts, which Skydance helped fund, was $195M. This dated film franchise is banking on its international audience, which is expected to pay $100 million. Half of that will come from China, where the disguised robots are a huge hit.
May 1-June 4 saw the summer box office reach $1 billion, largely thanks to Spider-Verse. This is 8% more than the same point in 2022 ($925.1M) but 19% lower than the summer of Avengers: Endgame, 2019, when it reached $1.24 billion.
Here’s how the rest of Thursday went:
On Thursday, Spider-Verse earned $10.1 million compared to $4 million for Disney’s The Little Mermaid. The Little Mermaid has grossed $205.1M after 2 weeks in theatres (at 4,320 locations).The first release day for 20th Century Studios/Disney’s The Boogeyman resulted in $1.2M (-1%) in 3,205 theatres, totalling $17.7M for the week.
After a $1.1M Thursday (-6% from Wednesday), Disney’s Guardians of the Galaxy, Vol. 3 grossed $15.7M (over $328.6M) in its fifth week in 2,902 cinemas. Fast X continued to earn $ money for Universal on Thursday with $816K, down 11% from Wednesday, bringing its three-day total to $138.9M (or $13.7M for the week).Techballad.com eagerly awaits your return for the latest updates. Make sure to add our site to your favorites list, so you can swiftly revisit and catch up on fresh updates.